New Orleans In about a month the biggest union election in 2010 will be counted once all of the mail ballots are in from over 40,000 Kaiser Permanente workers who are being polled. Unfortunately this not another milestone of successful union organizing, but hopefully the final major battle in the intense and long standing, bloody war between SEIU and what is left of its breakaway dissident local of many names, but most recently United Healthcare West, old Local 250. Elections even in the constrained settings undemocratic workplaces are never easy to predict, because when it’s all said and done, workers vote with their feet and they’ve been running all different directions at Kaiser in the last several years of this internecine war. Nonetheless without talking to any insiders and without being privy to any internal voter assessments or polling from either side, I’m pretty confident that it’s not too early to declare SEIU the winner now, way before the votes are counted.
Here’s why I believe they will win:
- Delays Always Favor the Company: This decertification election has been on and off too long to allow the challenger to maintain the momentum against the incumbent. In regular organizing that means the company wins more than 2/3rds of the time that the election is over 60 days from the filing. In this case the “company” is SEIU, and its ability to tie up the challenger means just on the numbers, before any work was done, if normal odds prevailed their chances of winning were at 2/3rds.
- Change the Boss: One of the standard pages in any law firm or company side labor relations manual holds that when you are caught behind, it’s best to change the boss or whomever the workers see as responsible for the problem. SEIU’s boss has changed. In this very personal struggle between Sal Rosselli from Oakland and SEIU’s Andy Stern from DC, too much of the dissident’s campaign always presumed it was safe to individualize the attack and target Stern as the problem. When Rosselli saw me in the Detroit hotel hallway and told me he had heard that Mary Kay Henry had the votes to become SEIU’s president, he chortled that it was “good news for the union, but bad news for me.” Had Anna Burger, Andy’s longtime leadership partner prevailed in the board election, the dissidents would have easily just said “same ol’ same ol’” but in Henry the workers would see a new leader from California harder to brand with the problems in Stern’s legacy, yet someone who had fought Rosselli for 20 years and had been the losing candidate as Secretary-Treasurer to Rosselli’s winning slate when he took over Local 250 after that trusteeship. I’m not saying that Stern left SEIU because of this election, but I will say that SEIU’s organizing expert, Tom Woodruff, has been in too many hard fought company/union elections, not to have calculated the impact on this election.
Continue Reading Bet on SEIU in West Coast Family Feud
New Orleans Next year will be the 10th anniversary of the Dukes vs. Wal-Mart suit seeking to rectify the damage that comes from the company’s systematic discrimination against women workers. The latest company dodge comes by way of an appeal to the U. S. Supreme Court of the 9th Circuit decision to create a million worker class action of the Dukes case. Bizarrely the company didn’t even question the facts of its gender discrimination only how many of them should be allowed in the suit where damages would run back to 1998.
New Orleans Shaun Donovan at HUD is clearly having problems getting his arms around the fact that America is not New York, the evidence starting with the horrible failure of the mortgage modification program or rather the lack of a mortgage modification program. Now throwing more words at the housing crises this weekend in pronouncements he reheated the money transfer scheme to the states for unemployed borrowers, postponing rather than solving problems, and talked about something with the Federal Housing Authority (FHA) about refinancing, details unknown.