Tag Archives: Biden

Betting on Who Won’t Make the Biden VP Choice

New Orleans     Since there’s still a Las Vegas, there is probably a betting line on the odds for various women being picked as Joe Biden’s choice to join him on the ticket as a candidate for vice-president.  Despite all of the arguments and soothsaying by the pundits about this and that, no one knows anything for sure other than the announcement is coming soon and that Biden will in fact nominate a woman, as he has pledged.

Having absolutely no inside information, but still being an avid reader of the news, I’m just going to have some fun and make the case for women who have been on the list, but for my measly two-cents are not going to make it to the winner’s circle.

Senator Elizabeth Warren is in the top five on all of the speculative lists, but she won’t make it.  He believes the left has nowhere to go, but to vote for him.  My bet is that he has made sure that she has stayed in the final rounds in order to send a message to left-liberals that she – and they — will have an important voice in his administration.  That means a lot, frankly, but it doesn’t mean he’s going to take the chance of there being a stronger voice than his in the White House.

Stacey Abrams, the almost governor of Georgia and a former state legislator, was touted early, but I’m betting you don’t go from a state legislator to VP in one leap.  Atlanta’s Mayor Bottoms is also getting some attention, and was supposedly touted by ex-President Bill Clinton, but you also don’t go from mayor to VP in politics, as Michael Bloomberg and Bill DeBlasio recently learned and John Lindsey, another New York City mayor who tried to grab the brass ring, could have told them.  I would also bet that Susan Rice, the former national security advisor for President Obama, will not get the nod, because she has never run for elective office.  Having no experience on the campaign trail of any kind, should be a disqualifier for VP for sure.  I also doubt that Representative Val Demings from Florida will be called to the ticket, both despite the fact and because of the fact that she was a former police chief.  Too much baggage.  The same things and more, have sunk any outside chance for Senator Amy Klobuchar, as the former DA in Minneapolis along with her record in the primary.  Senator Tammy Baldwin from Wisconsin and Governor Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan would surprise me.  He needs them working to make sure their states are in his winning column so it’s worth showing them some love on the list, but a mistake to take them out of the field and put them on planes.  Illinois Senator Tammy Duckworth would also surprise me, since Illinois is firmly in the “D” column, and it’s hard to believe that Biden thinks adding her would give him the vote of veterans.

Wow, I’ve somehow knocked off nine women from the list, and there are probably that many or more still in the running.  Congresswoman Bass from California is touted heavily and Senator Kamala Harris also from California are mentioned, but I don’t know that Harris can take it for many reasons, though somehow, I’m rooting for a Black woman for VP, so we’ll see soon enough.  It’s fun to speculate, but I’ll just be happy with about anyone to get this show on the road to November 3rd.

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Please enjoy The Ballad of Montreal by Vincent & The Grenadines.

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The Virus May be Fatal to the Trump Campaign

New Orleans     The reviews of  President Trump’s press conference, where he claimed he was trying to calm the American people and was expected to show leadership in meeting the covid-19 crisis, were almost uniformly bad.  The stock market reacted by cratering to the worst level since 1987 and has now lost 85% of its gains during the Trump term.  These are his real people, and they are stampeding for the door.  Trump is clueless about how to deal with a political world and public health crisis that he can’t mock and humiliate.  Americans watching their neighbors sick and dying, their IRA’s tanking, and trapped in isolation and confusion are not looking to vote for crazy in the White House.  They’re not looking to sock it to the man.  They’re looking to have the man stand up tall and straight and have the federal government do its job and serve the people.  Enough with the dark state, the virus has everyone calling for the right’s nightmare – the nanny state!

The voters are also sending one signal after another. Even Kevin DeWine, former head of the Ohio Republican Party, was quoted saying, “If it’s Biden, you’ll have disaffected Republicans run to the polls to vote for Biden, because they’re just looking for normal and sane.”  Biden’s vote totals in Michigan and Missouri were informative.  He’s pulling working class voters out.  He’s holding onto suburban college educateds.  He won all rural counties in Missouri as well.  These are all constituencies that are critical to Trump having a shot at a second term.  Some observers are starting to reckon with the new results from voters that offers a reinterpretation of 2016 as being as much a rejection of Hillary Clinton as an affirmation of Donald Trump.  It’s early, but even if Trump doesn’t get it, his people seem to understand he’s in trouble.

And, that doesn’t take into account the incredible high-low predictions on various scenarios from the virus, which will rest squarely on Trump’s anti-science, sales and promotions brand of leadership.  I had thought it horrific when I had read that a Yale epidemiologist had estimated 50,000 deaths from coronavirus.  Read the papers or listen to the news these days and you understand that is lowballing.  Meetings at the Center for Disease Control weeks ago on some models saw the death count between 300,000 and 1.5 million Americans over a year, depending on what precautions were taken.  A former Homeland Security adviser to Trump is warning of 500,000 deaths.  Local authorities and others are acting, but Trump is still blowing hard and following far behind with claims that it’s all good.

Recession on one hand and a rising death counts from all of this bumbling may finally have signaled the end to the Trump nightmare.  You can fool some of the people some of the time, but not all of the people all of the time.

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